Georgia poll: Walker narrowly beats Warnock; Kemp widens lead over Abrams

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Republicans in Georgia’s key midterm races are ahead of their Democratic opponents, according to a poll released Tuesday.

The poll, conducted by the Atlanta Journal Constitution and University of Georgia Survey Research Center, found that Republican Herschel Walker led incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock (D-GA) by two points, 46 percent to 44 percent. Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver got three percent and seven percent of respondents said they were undecided.

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The poll is the latest to suggest that Walker, a much-loved former Georgia football star, has picked up momentum in the race, and the poll is in line with most polls since August, which showed Walker posting small gains over Warnock.

Warnock, who is not only below but nowhere near the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a second round, has reason to be concerned about the results of the polls.

The Georgian Democrat has fallen since the last two points AJC poll taken in July, and in a race in which both candidates are black, Warnock has fallen significantly among black voters from where a vulnerable incumbent Democrat typically aspires to be.

sen. Raphael Warnock speaks to reporters as he leaves a vote on the Senate floor on Capitol Hill on August 6, 2022 in Washington DC. (Anna Rose Layden/Getty Images)

Warnock has 77 percent support from black voters compared to Walker’s nine percent. While Walker has maintained that vote share since the July poll, Warnock’s support from black voters has fallen from the 85 percent he received in July.

Georgia is a top battleground where the US Senate race is one of the few races in the country that could determine which side controls the Senate next year.

Walker campaign spokesman Will Kiley pointed to “dark money” damaging Warnock’s racing prospects in a statement to Breitbart News, saying: “No amount of dark money from California and New York can help Raphael Warnock to buy the people’s senate seat.”

“Whatever the numbers show, Herschel will continue to work harder than anyone to show the people of Georgia that he is the best choice in this race,” Kiley added.

In the swingstate’s other top race, Governor Brian Kemp (R) extended his lead from five points in the final AJC poll to now eight points ahead of Democrat candidate Stacey Abrams.

Kemp received 50 percent, Abrams received 42 percent, and six percent of respondents said they were undecided.

The grim results for Abrams led a pro-Abrams poll on social media to believe the… AJCGeorgia’s largest newspaper had published “bad polls”. The pollster raised one of Abrams’ most significant issues since her first loss as governor in 2018, adding, “This is a lot like voter suppression through a poll.”

Aside from the senate and governor games, AJC noted, “Democrats don’t do better” in other races in the state down the road.

The poll was conducted Sept. 5-16 of 861 likely general election voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent.

Write to Ashley Oliver at [email protected] Follow her on Twitter on @ashliver.

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